We dyno a LOT of cars here, and we typically see right around a 15% driveline loss on stock cars w/ manual transmissions, assuming they're actually making the flywheel hp that the manufacturers claim.
While it's impossible to say "This car makes XXXhp at the rear wheels, so it definitively makes YYYhp at the flywheel," 15% is the best and most accurate number we have to use. We're basically going off of an assumption, and there's nothing wrong with that, as long as everyone's on the same page.
Dynos are fairly accurate, but the numbers they produce should be used as a baseline for future modifications.
By the way, Mustangs are usually right in the same 15% ballpark...