How many paddle shifters miss a shift?
Your point necessarily assumes, incorrectly, that a missed shift is the only, important or even significant thing that can slow you down or make you fast in a race. On the contrary, consistently choosing the right line and timing your braking distances alone represent nearly infinite key and significant variables since each and every input over the course of a race is different depending on where the other cars are relative to you at any given point on any given lap. A “mediocre” driver, to use your words, will not suddenly smarten up and figure out the split second timing, newly optimal line, ever changing steering, braking and throttle timing needed when there is someone else in the way of a sequence of corners ahead and a competitor is breathing down his neck at high speed (more on that later). The paddle shifter will not tell him when to go to power depending on his exit point from the turn and how much force he should put on the pedal to not spin the car. It also won’t tell him when to downshift so he does not go off into the sand trap because he wholly misjudged his corner entry speed and angle.
Again, the incredibly overlooked factor in all of this is the driver. It does not matter how much technology you throw at a problem if the operator is incompetent or mediocre. Pick a mediocre driver and give him a Viper SRT-10 with a sequential shifter and pit him against Tommy Archer in a manual 997 GT3 short 4 cylinders, nearly 100hp and even more torque. Give the mediocre Viper driver a 10-second head start over 12 laps and then have Archer pick the track. Then take bets on how long before Archer laps him.
Much of winning a race is making fewer mistakes than the competition in fact, some would say "ALL of winning a race..."
Part of winning a race is indeed making fewer mistakes but it does not come remotely close to ALL of what it takes to consistently win. Winning a race comes from a combination of talent, training and experience. You can make no mistakes and still lose a race even when the technological playing field is not only level but in your favor. Witness the epic struggle of Michael Schumacher against Fernando Alonso in the now legendary race at San Marino in April of 2005. Alonso had the lead with the great German hovering literally a foot away as the cars raced through turn after turn for 10 agonizing laps at speeds so extraordinary they seemed almost like a Matrix-style special effect. Shifts were coming so fast they sounded like automatic weapons fire. Unlike the Tommy Archer hypothetical where you have a mediocre driver with a supposed technology edge against a better driver with a manual here you had two cars, same systems, talented drivers and no mistakes. In fact, the systems on the more expensive Ferrari were better and, as such, the Ferrari was significantly faster which should have allowed it to compensate for any mistake Schumacher made. But the better driver that day, Alonso, won. Carefully read Alonso’s comments to the BBC afterward and take note of what it was about what Alonso told himself and did to win against the combination of a car and highly talented driver that Alonso readily admitted was faster than him:
http://news.bbc.co.uk/sport1/hi/motorsport/formula_one/4479009.stm
Chase somebody heel-n-toeing through 10 turns every lap and rev-matching and the odds of him missing a shift are a great deal more than some paddle shifter screwing up because of a bad manicure.
Coordinating two feet and two hands requires considerably more talent than flipping a pinky finger. Tech certainly DOES even the playing field by making mediocre drivers better.
Something that requires more "talent" does not mean that it is better or the way to go. Remember, one day we were fighting with sticks and stones. Today we have nuclear weapons. Takes a lot more "talent" to work a slingshot but which one do you want to go to war with? Why stop at the "talent" required to drive a manual shifter? Let’s go back 50 years to drum brakes, bias ply tires, live axles and the most archaic suspension you can think of all of which are inherently inferior today but required more "talent" to operate when put on a car. Is a driver who chooses to stick with those technologies justified in berating you as an impure techno-wonder because relative to his car your Viper with modern tires, brakes and suspension is current with the things it NOW takes to win? Time and technology move on but the mission - making and executing skillfully timed decisions in the face of ever changing variables in order to win - does not change. And the stresses, pressure and dangers on and to drivers today are far greater now that technology has dramatically expanded the performance envelope of the modern performance cars. It only gets worse every time technology moves forward.
Technology in and of itself changes virtually nothing. Look around you at all the left lane bandit, forgotten blinker on, cell-phone yakking, no track time and/or no car control losers you have to share the public roads with. If you think there is any technology that will make them remotely "level" on your playing field then I have to give you credit for you are the very definition of an optimist.